ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia

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Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a crucial driver of fire weather in Australia, with the correlation between ENSO and Australian fire weather having intensified over the past 2 decades. However, the underlying causes for this change have not been thoroughly investigated. In this study, we utilize reanalysis datasets and numerical model simulations to demonstrate that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) could potentially modulate the ENSO–Australian fire weather relationship. The correlation between ENSO and the Australian Fire Weather Index (FWI) increases from 0.17 to 0.70 as the AMO transitions from its negative to positive phase. This strengthening effect can be attributed to atmospheric teleconnection mechanisms. Specifically, the positive AMO phase, characterized by warming in the northern and tropical Atlantic, generates Rossby wave trains, leading to high-pressure systems over Australia. Consequently, local temperature and wind speed increase, while precipitation decreases. This signal, superimposed on ENSO, serves to amplify the ENSO effect on Australian fire weather.
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Relations - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Relations - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Relations - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Modulation of the Relationship between ENSO and Its Combination Mode by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 11 (2020)
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Atmosphere, Free Full-Text
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
El Niño Southern Oscillation defined as a the leading empirical
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Asymmetrical Modulation of the Relationship Between the Western Pacific Pattern and El Niño–Southern Oscillation by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the Boreal Winter - Aru - 2023 - Geophysical Research Letters - Wiley Online Library
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Two Aspects of Decadal ENSO Variability Modulating the Long‐Term Global Carbon Cycle - Park - 2020 - Geophysical Research Letters - Wiley Online Library
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Frontiers Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Modulates the Relation of ENSO With the Precipitation in the Central-Western Indian Ocean
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Modulation of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on ENSO-East Asian early summer monsoon connection: role of a tropical pathway
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